Joe Biden and President Donald Trump are pictured in Trump’s inauguration. | Paul J. Richards/AFP/Getty Pictures Poll: Biden qualified prospects Trump in potential 2020 matchup
Former Vice President Joe Biden would lead President Donald Trump found in a 2020 general election, according to a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll.
Just 35 percent of voters would want to reelect Trump in 2020, the poll shows – substantially fewer than the 46 percent who would vote instead for Biden, who said Monday that he’s “not closing the door” on the subject of a third attempt at the presidency in 2020. One in 5 voters are undecided.
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Biden’s 11-level margin is in fact smaller compared to the poll’s previous issue, in which voters are asked if they will vote to reelect Trump, or perhaps for a generic Democrat. The generic Democrat qualified prospects Trump, 48 percent to 34 percent, the poll shows.
“Former Vice President Joe Biden has the upper hand in a good hypothetical matchup against President Donald Trump, but he underperforms compared with a good generic Democrat,” said Kyle Dropp, Morning Consult’s co-founder and chief study officer. “Notably, 86% of Democrats say they would vote for a generic Democrat over Trump, but only 78% of Democrats say they prefer Biden over Trump.”
Independent voters tilt away from the incumbent: 41 percent would vote for Biden, and 26 percent for Trump.
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POLITICO reported the other day that Biden has, in recent months, “shifted unmistakably and only running” for president found in 2020. And the previous vice president and Delaware senator offers been on a media blitz to promote a new book, “Promise Me, Father: A Year of Wish, Hardship, and Purpose,” that was released Tuesday.
That book describes dealing with the death of his son Beau Biden, a former Delaware condition attorney general, in-may 2015. Joe Biden cited his son’s death significantly less than five months after in declining to mount a 2016 presidential bid.
In one of some TV interviews with NBC News personalities on Monday, Biden was asked by Megyn Kelly about difficult Trump’s electoral base.
“The critics will say you are too old – you are likely to be 77 in 2020. You wouldn’t possess any new strategies,” Kelly explained. “You have already work twice and lost. You would have to guarantee it would be one term only, and that the blue-collar Rust Belters, who you would have to get elected, already take pleasure in Donald Trump.”
“They love me more,” Biden shot back. “But they are right about all of the first parts, appropriate. I am uncertain I can overcome the front end, but I am aware the Rust Belt. Donald Trump does not have any notion of what those people ‘re going through.”
The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll found Biden includes a 9-point lead in the Midwest, 45 percent to 36 percent – roughly equal to his national advantage. Both individuals run neck-and-neck with white colored voters, with Biden at 41 percent and Trump at 40 percent. And Biden is only somewhat behind Trump among white colored voters without a university degree, 37 percent to 41 percent.
The POLITICO/Morning Consult poll was conducted November 9-11, surveying 1,993 registered voters. The margin of sampling error is normally plus or minus 2 percentage points.
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More details in the poll and its methodology are available in both of these documents – Toplines: http://politi.co/2ADtyKs | Crosstabs: http://politi.co/2yZ4pNW